EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 4
Port Vale

FT(HT: 0-1)

Politic (15', 56', 57'), Walker (74')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Shrewsbury Town and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Fleetwood Town	9	1	12
12	Shrewsbury Town	9	-1	12
13	Port Vale	9	-2	12

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Shrewsbury Town	9	-1	12
13	Port Vale	9	-2	12
14	Charlton Athletic	9	2	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Port Vale
19.9% ( -0.03)	23.07% ( 0.01)	57.03% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

-0.07)

48.17% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.06)

70.32% (

0.06)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

-0.07)

38.41% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

-0.07)

75.17% (

0.07)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

-0.02)

16.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.49% (

-0.03)

46.51% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 19.9%

Port Vale 57.01%

Draw 23.07%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 19.9%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.99% 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 57.01%