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Championship header 2

League One

Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Port Vale

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
47.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09)25.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)27.61% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.95% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.033999999999992 0.03)20.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.057000000000002 0.06)53.24% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)31.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.07 -0.07)68.31% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 47.37%
    Port Vale 27.61%
    Draw 25.01%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
64.7%
Draw
29.4%
Port Vale
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Peterborough
Andoh (40')
Duffy (89')
Bostwick (56' pen.)
Smith (28')
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
Port Vale
2-1
Peterborough
Burchill (32'), Williamson (47')
Washington (21')
Oztumer (77')