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League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Peterborough United

Bolton
1 - 0
Peterborough

Afolayan (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Peterborough United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPeterborough United
57.29% (2.608 2.61)22.56% (-0.224 -0.22)20.15% (-2.378 -2.38)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-2.743 -2.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (-1.97 -1.97)45.64% (1.975 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03% (-1.903 -1.9)67.97% (1.908 1.91)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (0.19799999999999 0.2)15.68% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (0.361 0.36)44.74% (-0.356 -0.36)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3% (-3.408 -3.41)36.7% (3.413 3.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51% (-3.582 -3.58)73.49% (3.586 3.59)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 57.29%
    Peterborough United 20.15%
    Draw 22.55%
Bolton WanderersDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.934 0.93)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.927 0.93)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.61 0.61)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.299 0.3)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.471 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.527 -0.53)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.327 -0.33)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 20.15%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Jul 28, 2018 3pm
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Bolton
3-0
Peterborough
Karacan (22'), Wheather (53'), Le Fondre (76')
Dervite (20')

Hughes (20')
Nov 13, 2016 12.15pm