/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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George Maris
45'+3'
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Lewis Dobbin
29'
Mansfield Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).
Result
Mansfield Town
45.44%
▼
(-1.45)
Draw
26.07%
▲
(+0.57)
Derby County
28.49%
▲
(+0.88)
Both Teams to Score:
51.35%
▼
(-1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.32%
▼
(-1.78)
Under 2.5
52.68%
▲
(+1.77)
Over 3.5
25.67%
▼
(-1.54)
Under 3.5
74.32%
▲
(+1.54)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5
76.87%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 0.5
23.13%
▲
(+1.41)
Over 1.5
43.01%
▼
(-2.11)
Under 1.5
56.99%
▲
(+2.10)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
66.79%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 0.5
33.21%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
30.18%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
69.81%
▲
(+0.28)
Score analysis
Mansfield Town
45.43%
Draw
26.07%
Derby County
28.49%
Mansfield Town
1-0
@
11.24%
▲
(+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.43%
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.43%
Draw
1-1
@
12.39%
▲
(+0.26)
0-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.53)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.07%
0-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.53)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.07%
Derby County
0-1
@
8.47%
▲
(+0.53)
1-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.49%
1-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.49%
