EFL Trophy
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-
David McGoldrick
38'
-
Carlos Borges
27'
-
Carlos Borges
58'
-
Craig Forsyth
90'+1'
(OG)
Derby County vs Manchester City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
64.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
18.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Manchester City Under-21s
17.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
62.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
31.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
46.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
53.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
90.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
9.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
68.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
31.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5
68.65%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
31.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
32.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
67.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Derby County
64.15%
Draw
18.57%
Manchester City Under-21s
17.28%
Derby County
2-1
@
9.55%
2-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 64.15%
2-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 64.15%
Draw
1-1
@
8.08%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.57%
2-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.57%
Manchester City Under-21s
1-2
@
4.68%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 17.28%