Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Derby County and Manchester City Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Derby
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man City U21s 1-3 Blackburn U21s
Saturday, October 8 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Saturday, October 8 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
64.15% ( 0.01) | 18.57% ( -0) | 17.28% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
