Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.