AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 8
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Derby logo

Morecambe
1 - 1
Derby

Weir (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sibley (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawDerby County
19.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.6% (0.023 0.02)56.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (-0.052 -0.05)50.91% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)72.79% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)17.67% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)48.29% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 19.43%
    Derby County 56.96%
    Draw 23.6%
MorecambeDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.43%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 6.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.96%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Derby

Morecambe
10.6%
Draw
8.5%
Derby County
80.9%
47