/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Jensen Weir
45'+2'
-
Louie Sibley
59'
Morecambe vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F37%2Fpaul-warne.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result
Morecambe
19.43%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
23.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Derby County
56.97%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
48.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.09%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
50.91%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
27.21%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
72.79%
▲
(+0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
59.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
40.51%
Over 1.5
22.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
77.11%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
82.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
17.67%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
51.71%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
48.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Morecambe
19.43%
Draw
23.6%
Derby County
56.96%
Morecambe
1-0
@
6.47%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.43%
2-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.43%
Draw
1-1
@
11.21%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.6%
0-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.6%
Derby County
0-1
@
12.4%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56.96%
0-2 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56.96%