EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
2 - 1
Morecambe

O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Major (2')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Harrogate Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Morecambe
41.46% ( 0.77)	25.97% ( -0.08)	32.57% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 53.62% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.35% (

0.15)

50.64% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45% (

0.13)

72.55% (

-0.14)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

0.46)

24.18% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

0.66)

58.5% (

-0.66)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

-0.38)

29.28% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

-0.46)

65.24% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 41.46%

Morecambe 32.57%

Draw 25.97%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.46%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.57%