Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Harrogate Town and Morecambe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
41.46% ( 0.77) | 25.97% ( -0.08) | 32.57% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
