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Championship header 2

League One

Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
3 - 1
Morecambe

Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Astley (77' og.)
Coverage of the League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
48.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 53.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.00099999999999056 0)19.9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.03%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.26% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 48.9%
    Morecambe 26.36%
    Draw 24.74%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 48.9%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.36%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
1-0
Morecambe
Kee (45' pen.)
Brown (63'), Jackson (67')

Rose (73'), Old (85')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Accrington
Ellison (95')
Brough (60'), Campbell (62'), Muller (76')
Oliver (57')
Kee (31'), Clark (90')
Jackson (63')
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Morecambe
1-2
Accrington
Wildig (82')
Whitmore (8'), Ellison (45'), Conlan (81'), Edwards (86')
McCartan (45', 66')
Rodgers (81')