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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
44.73% ( -0.15) | 25.19% ( -0.06) | 30.07% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% ( 0.36) | 48.26% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( 0.33) | 70.41% ( -0.32) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% ( 0.08) | 21.58% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% ( 0.13) | 54.67% ( -0.12) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% ( 0.34) | 29.77% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.16% ( 0.4) | 65.84% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
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