Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.