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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 29.82% | 25.83% | 44.35% |
| Both teams to score 52.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% | 51.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% | 72.93% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% | 31.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% | 67.75% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% | 22.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.27% | 56.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.82% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.35% |