AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Morecambe

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Morecambe

Keillor-Dunn (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Delaney (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
46.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03)25.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)28.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.26% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)21.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)54.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 46.28%
    Morecambe 28.27%
    Draw 25.44%
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Morecambe

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
3-0
Burton Albion
Gnahoua (41'), Phillips (45+5'), Stockton (46')
Connolly (28')

Oshilaja (71')
Shaughnessy (43')
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Morecambe
Ellison (59'), Kenyon (61')
Fleming (56'), Barkhuizen (85')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!