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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Fleetwood


Oshilaja (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Macadam (34')
Warrington (21'), Vela (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-2 Fleetwood Town

With Burton Albion recently finding a hunger for goals, they will more than likely find the scoresheet in this game. Tight games have been the order of the day for Fleetwood and there is not enough evidence to suggest that will change, which is why a draw is a likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
35.19% (3.211 3.21) 25.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 38.88% (-3.109 -3.11)
Both teams to score 54.35% (1.137 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (1.101 1.1)49.98% (-1.097 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.974 0.97)71.96% (-0.968 -0.97)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (2.575 2.58)27.32% (-2.57 -2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24% (3.222 3.22)62.77% (-3.216 -3.22)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-1.119 -1.12)25.22% (1.124 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-1.569 -1.57)59.97% (1.574 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.19%
    Fleetwood Town 38.88%
    Draw 25.93%
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.243 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.516 0.52)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.549 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.447 0.45)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.395 0.4)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.749 -0.75)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.756 -0.76)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.458 -0.46)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.88%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Fleetwood

Burton Albion
46.7%
Draw
26.7%
Fleetwood Town
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-1
Burton Albion
Camps (18'), Madden (79')
Burns (19'), Whelan (84')
Brayford (66')
Bostwick (70')
O'Toole (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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