League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Fleetwood

FT(HT: 0-1)

Macadam (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Fleetwood Town
35.19% ( 3.21)	25.93% ( -0.1)	38.88% ( -3.11)

Both teams to score 54.35% (

1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02% (

1.1)

49.98% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

0.97)

71.96% (

-0.97)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.68% (

2.58)

27.32% (

-2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24% (

3.22)

62.77% (

-3.22)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

-1.12)

25.22% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

-1.57)

59.97% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 35.19%

Fleetwood Town 38.88%

Draw 25.93%

Burton Albion	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.19%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.76) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.88%