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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 31.72% ( | 26.55% ( | 41.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( | 53.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( | 74.81% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( | 31.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( | 67.49% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( | 25.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( | 59.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.73% |