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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Forest Green

Adeboyejo (6', 82', 90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brown (52'), Wickham (69' pen.)
Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-4 Exeter
Saturday, September 24 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawForest Green Rovers
27.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)25.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)46.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 53.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (0.0039999999999978 0)49.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.18% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03%20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27%53.72%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 27.95%
    Forest Green Rovers 46.91%
    Draw 25.13%
Burton AlbionDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 7.64%
2-1 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.38%
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.95%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.85%
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.91%