We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Burton Albion
The two sides head into Saturday's contest off the back of contrasting results from their last two matches, with Burton seeking to claim a third successive win in all competitions.
However, we expect a response from Shrewsbury in front of their own fans and they should do enough to claim at least a draw at New Meadow.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.