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Championship header 2

League Two

Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Hartlepool United

Harrogate
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Umerah (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
43.79% (-0.11 -0.11)27.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)29.17% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)25.44% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)60.27% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.062000000000012 0.06)34.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.065999999999999 0.07)71.21% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 43.78%
    Hartlepool United 29.17%
    Draw 27.04%
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Harrogate
Ndjoli (17', 33')

Burrell (14')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
1-2
Hartlepool
Armstrong (21')
Molyneux (25'), Ferguson (62')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Harrogate

Toure (36')
Stead (57')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Harrogate
4-1
Hartlepool
Kerry (54'), Muldoon (58' pen., 91'), Falkingham (68')
Kerry (47'), Burrell (63')
Kabamba (76')