League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 0
Exeter

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Ipswich 1-0 Derby
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Exeter City
49.79% ( -0)	23.51% ( 0.01)	26.7% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.31% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.09% (

-0.05)

42.91% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.69% (

-0.05)

65.31% (

0.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64% (

-0.02)

17.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25% (

-0.03)

47.75% (

0.03)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55% (

-0.03)

29.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.55% (

-0.04)

65.45% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Derby County 49.79%

Exeter City 26.7%

Draw 23.5%

Derby County	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.79%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.28% Total : 26.7%