EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
4 - 1
Exeter

Matt (12'), Peart-Harris (51' pen.), Billington (54' og.), O'Keeffe (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jay (41')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Forest Green Rovers and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Exeter 2-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Exeter City
32.42% ( -1.05)	24.76% ( 0.08)	42.82% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

-0.68)

45.38% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28% (

-0.65)

67.72% (

0.65)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21% (

-0.97)

26.79% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

-1.29)

62.08% (

1.29)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

0.16)

21.24% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85% (

0.25)

54.15% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 32.42%

Exeter City 42.82%

Draw 24.75%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.42%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.75%	1-2 @ 9% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.82%