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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
2 - 4
Oxford Utd

Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11'), Sweeney (30'), Stansfield (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Brannagan (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Exeter
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Oxford United

Although Exeter lost their previous fixture against Charlton, Oxford are expected to be an easier opponent, who are lacking confidence at the moment. The attacking threat of the Exeter front line should be enough to win this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
43.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 26.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 30.07% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.7% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.07 -0.07)57.82% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.8%
    Oxford United 30.07%
    Draw 26.13%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Exeter
Hylton (18'), Roberts (92')
Davies (37'), Nicholls (88')
Noble (44')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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