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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
2 - 4
Oxford Utd

Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11'), Sweeney (30'), Stansfield (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Brannagan (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Exeter
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Oxford United

Although Exeter lost their previous fixture against Charlton, Oxford are expected to be an easier opponent, who are lacking confidence at the moment. The attacking threat of the Exeter front line should be enough to win this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
43.8% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 26.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 30.07% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)23.7% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.07 -0.07)57.82% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.8%
    Oxford United 30.07%
    Draw 26.13%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Exeter
Hylton (18'), Roberts (92')
Davies (37'), Nicholls (88')
Noble (44')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Barnsley4621131282641876
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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