League One Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Jevani Brown 65' goal
  • Sonny Cox 90'+2' goal
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 12'
  • goal Sam Long 31'
  • goal Kyle Joseph 44'
  • goal Kyle Joseph 54'

Exeter City vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Charlton 4 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Wycombe
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kyle Joseph

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 43.8% (-0.06)
Draw 26.13% (+0.03)
Oxford United 30.07% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.05% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.81% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 52.19% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 26.1% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 73.9% (+0.06)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 76.3% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 23.7% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.18% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.82% (+0.08)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 68.22% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.78% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.21% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 43.8%
Draw 26.13%
Oxford United 30.07%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.84% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.13%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.07%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Dec 4, 2019 7.00pm
0
0
ET St James Park (Exeter, Devon)
  • Jordan Tillson 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Mackie 61'
League Two
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordan Tillson 45' yellowcard
  • Alex Nicholls 77' goal
  • goal Chey Dunkley 8'
  • goal Jordan Bowery 41'
  • goal Jordan Bowery 59'
  • goal Alex MacDonald 62'
League Two
Dec 26, 2015 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cheyenne Dunkley 36' yellowcard
  • Alexander MacDonald 42' yellowcard
  • George Baldock 43' yellowcard
  • John Lundstram 48' goal
  • George Baldock 67' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Nicholls 42'
  • yellowcard Jordan Tillson 43'
  • yellowcard Lee Holmes 72'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 77'
League Two
Jan 24, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Hylton 18' goal
  • James Roberts 92' goal
  • goal Arron Davies 37'
  • yellowcard David Noble 44'
  • goal Alex Nicholls 88'
League Two
Sep 13, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Graham Cummins 4' goal
  • goal Callum O'Dowda 15'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Barnett 58'
League Two
Jan 28, 2014 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Deane Smalley 81'