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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Exeter City |
| 39.94% ( | 25.96% ( | 34.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( | 50.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( | 72.19% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( | 24.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( | 59.35% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( | 28.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( | 63.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 4% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.1% |