League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
MK Dons

Mousinho (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Smith (44'), Grigg (84' pen.)

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Charlton Athletic	8	2	10
15	Oxford United	8	-1	10
16	Lincoln City	8	-3	10

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Accrington Stanley	8	-3	7
22	MK Dons	8	-3	7
23	Morecambe	8	-11	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	MK Dons
48.8% ( -0.62)	24.93% ( -0.03)	26.27% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

0.62)

49.44% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

0.56)

71.48% (

-0.56)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

-0.01)

20.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

-0.02)

52.64% (

0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

0.87)

33.23% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.15% (

0.95)

69.84% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 48.8%

MK Dons 26.27%

Draw 24.92%

Oxford United	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.8%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.27%