EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd1 - 2Chelsea U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and Chelsea Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-2 Leicester U21s
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 22.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
56.39% ( 0.92) | 21.54% ( -0.15) | 22.06% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.45% ( -0.27) | 38.54% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.16% ( -0.29) | 60.84% ( 0.29) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% ( 0.19) | 13.57% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.32% ( 0.38) | 40.67% ( -0.38) |
Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0.82) | 30.84% ( 0.82) |