League One Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Vale Park
  • Ademipo Odubeko 78' goal
  • Ellis Harrison 88' goal
  • goal Myles Peart-Harris 14'
  • goal Baily Cargill 37'

Port Vale vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Peterborough 4 - 1 Forest Green
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 53.06% (+0.10)
Draw 24.19% (-0.05)
Forest Green Rovers 22.75% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.86% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.54% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 49.45% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 28.51% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 71.49% (-0.10)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 81.41% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 18.58% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 50.14% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 49.85% (-0.13)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 63.7% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.3% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.08% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 53.06%
Draw 24.19%
Forest Green Rovers 22.75%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.36% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.26% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.19%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.75%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 26
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Edmondson 12' goal
  • goal Mathew Stevens 80'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jamie Proctor 6'
  • goal Jamie Proctor 9'
  • yellowcard Jamie Proctor 14'
  • yellowcard Brad Walker 42'
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 83'
League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Nicky Cadden 20' goal
  • goal Devante Rodney 77'
League Two Gameweek 18
Dec 15, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
  • Nathan Smith 22' yellowcard
  • Chris Stokes 34' goal
  • goal Aaron Collins 41'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 75'
  • yellowcard Aaron Collins 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT The New Lawn
  • Liam Kitching 45' yellowcard
  • Carl Winchester 78' goal
  • Carl Winchester 90' goal
  • goal Shaun Brisley 14'
  • goal Tom Pope 38'
  • goal Tom Pope 70'
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 80'
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 83'
  • yellowcard Shaun Brisley 84'
  • redcard Mitch Clark 87'
  • yellowcard Tom Pope 90'
  • redcard Tom Pope 90'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Cristian Montano 2' yellowcard
  • Richie Bennett 4' goal
  • David Worrall 25' yellowcard
  • David Amoo 34' goal
  • goal Joseph Mills 6'
  • yellowcard Matt Mills 49'