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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Peterborough
4 - 1
Forest Green

Thompson (30'), Clarke-Harris (39'), Jade-Jones (46'), Burrows (58')
FT(HT: 2-1)
March (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
58.46% (0.059000000000005 0.06)21.78% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)19.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (0.063000000000002 0.06)42.76% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (0.064 0.06)65.16% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)14.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (0.073 0.07)42.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)35.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.46%
    Forest Green Rovers 19.76%
    Draw 21.78%
Peterborough UnitedDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59%
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 19.76%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Forest Green

Peterborough United
80.6%
Draw
11.1%
Forest Green Rovers
8.3%
36