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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 52.95% ( | 24.81% | 22.23% |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( | 52.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( | 74.12% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% | 19.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( | 51.82% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( | 38.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% ( | 75.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.95% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.23% |