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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Fleetwood Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes Gomes (28')
Hayes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood have only scored 11 times this season, which is the second-fewest in the division. However, they are coming up against an Exeter side that are shipping goals left and right at the moment, and this is the perfect opportunity for them to get back to winning ways in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
53.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.17%22.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.13% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.12%
    Fleetwood Town 22.69%
    Draw 24.17%
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.69%

How you voted: Exeter vs Fleetwood

Exeter City
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Fleetwood Town
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Nov 10, 2012 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Fleetwood
Cureton (24'), O'Flynn (57' pen.)
O'Flynn (59')
McNulty (13'), Nicholson (41')
Nicholson (45'), Davies (56'), Mawene (56'), Ferguson (61'), Ball (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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