League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mendes Gomes (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 4-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Man Utd U21s (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
53.13% ( 0.01)	24.17%	22.69% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-0)

49.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-0)

71.48% (

0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

18.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2% (

49.8% (

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

-0.01)

36.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.87% (

-0.01)

73.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 53.12%

Fleetwood Town 22.69%

Draw 24.17%

Exeter City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.12%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 6.82% 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.69%