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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 64.45% ( | 20.37% ( | 15.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( | 44.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( | 66.67% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( | 13.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.46% ( | 39.53% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.24% ( | 41.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.77% ( | 78.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-1 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 64.43% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 1-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.18% |