League One Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Ben Williams 35' goal

Cheltenham Town vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 0 Barnsley
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 46.76% (-1.85)
Draw 26% (+0.27)
Morecambe 27.24% (+1.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.72% (+0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.91% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.09% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.33% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.67% (-0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.31% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 22.68% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 43.66% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 56.34% (+1.25)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 65.6% (+1.31)
Under 0.5 34.4% (-1.31)
Over 1.5 28.89% (+1.38)
Under 1.5 71.11% (-1.38)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 46.76%
Draw 25.99%
Morecambe 27.24%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.44)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.99%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 6.59% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 4.44% (+0.31)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.58% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gregory Leigh 52' goal
  • yellowcard Elliott Bonds 9'
  • goal Liam Sercombe 44'
  • goal Callum Wright 46'
  • goal Alfie May 80'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Liam Sercombe 26' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 65' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 68' goal
  • goal Adam Phillips 38'
  • yellowcard Anthony O'Connor 52'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gnahoua 74'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Liam McAlinden 20' goal
League Two Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Alfie May 28' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Davis 40'
  • goal Adam Phillips 78'
  • goal Carlos Mendes Gomes 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Conor Thomas 32' goal
  • Alfie May 35' goal
  • Charlie Raglan 44' yellowcard
  • Luke Varney 64' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 92' yellowcard
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 96' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Kenyon 71'
  • goal AJ Leitch-Smith 84'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wildig 87'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 98'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Barry Roche 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Long 58'