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Championship header 2

League One

Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Morecambe

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Morecambe

Williams (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Barnsley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
46.76% (-1.846 -1.85)26% (0.266 0.27)27.24% (1.581 1.58)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.481 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)53.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)74.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.827 -0.83)22.68% (0.827 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66% (-1.243 -1.24)56.34% (1.243 1.24)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (1.309 1.31)34.4% (-1.308 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (1.374 1.37)71.11% (-1.374 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 46.76%
    Morecambe 27.24%
    Draw 25.99%
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.438 -0.44)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.76%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.298 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.305 0.31)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.185 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.159 0.16)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.24%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Morecambe

Cheltenham Town
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Morecambe
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
1-3
Cheltenham
Leigh (52')
Sercombe (44'), Wright (46'), May (80')
Bonds (9')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Cheltenham
3-1
Morecambe
Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-0
Cheltenham
McAlinden (20')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Morecambe
May (28')
Phillips (78' pen.), Mendes Gomes (90+2')
Davis (40')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Morecambe
Thomas (32' pen.), May (35')
Raglan (44'), Varney (64'), Broom (92'), Doyle-Hayes (96')
Leitch-Smith (84')
Kenyon (71'), Wildig (87'), Stockton (98')
rhs 2.0


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