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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 34.95% ( | 27.26% ( | 37.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( | 55.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( | 76.67% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( | 30.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( | 66.29% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( | 64.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 1-2 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.78% |