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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Barnsley |
24.67% ( 0.12) | 24.94% ( 0.07) | 50.38% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.18) | 50.72% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.16) | 72.62% ( 0.16) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.74% ( 0.01) | 35.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.98% ( 0.01) | 72.02% ( -0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( -0.15) | 20.14% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.59% ( -0.24) | 52.41% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.67% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |