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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 54.21% ( | 23.9% | 21.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( | 49.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( | 71.23% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( | 18.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% | 48.93% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.2% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.64% 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.71% Total : 21.89% |