Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.