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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (77')
Taylor (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perry (68'), Jackson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-0 Bradford
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Burton Albion 2-0 Cheltenham Town

 With the Cheltenham defence being easy to break down in their previous two fixtures, it is likely that Burton will find a way through and with the better form coming into this game, we would expect them to take the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
49.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.35% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)34.08% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 49.84%
    Cheltenham Town 25.35%
    Draw 24.79%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Cheltenham
Akins (67')
Hamer (82'), Brayford (90+2')
Wright (28')
Lloyd (64')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Cheltenham
1-3
Burton Albion
Burns (55')
Brown (45')
Beavon (21'), McGurk (36'), Edwards (49')
Weir (81')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Burton Albion
1-0
Cheltenham
Beavon (34')
Blyth (83')

Elliott (8'), Brown (83')
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Cheltenham
Knowles (72', 85')
MacDonald (25')
Harrison (62')
Jombati (36'), Roofe (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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