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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 43.29% ( | 25.5% ( | 31.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( | 49.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( | 71.16% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( | 22.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.79% ( | 56.21% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( | 29.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 2-1 @ 9% ( 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.21% |