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Championship header 2

League One

MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Bristol Rovers

MK Dons
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers

FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (76' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 MK Dons
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBristol Rovers
59.07% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)22.38% (0.026 0.03)18.55% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.067 -0.07)47.15% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (-0.064 -0.06)69.39% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)15.61% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.4% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)44.6% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)39.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.01%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 59.06%
    Bristol Rovers 18.55%
    Draw 22.38%
MK DonsDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 59.06%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.55%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Bristol Rovers

MK Dons
41.9%
Draw
32.3%
Bristol Rovers
25.8%
31
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
0-2
MK Dons

Rodman (42'), McCormick (70'), Martinez (85'), Kilgour (90+1')
Fraser (17'), Grigg (60')
Sorinola (45'), Kasumu (55'), Fisher (78')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Gladwin (45+3'), Fraser (63')
Gladwin (47'), Keogh (90+5')

McCormick (85')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Healey (16'), Nombe (60'), Agard (84')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
MK Dons
Davies (49')
Rodman (30')

Martin (20'), Cargill (60')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Cisse (41'), Brittain (78'), Aneke (89')
Harrison (50')
Craig (70')