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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 27.78% ( | 27.02% ( | 45.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( | 56.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% ( | 77.61% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( | 35.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.35% ( | 72.65% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( | 24.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( | 59.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.78% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.2% |