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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 29.78% | 27.17% | 43.06% |
| Both teams to score 48.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% | 56.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% | 77.35% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% | 34.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% | 70.84% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% | 25.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% | 60.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.05% |