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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | MK Dons |
| 24.99% | 25.15% | 49.86% |
| Both teams to score 51.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% | 51.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% | 73.14% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% | 35.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% | 72.07% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% | 20.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% | 53.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.99% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 1% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.86% |