League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')

Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	MK Dons
25.17%	25.55%	49.26%

Both teams to score 50.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24%

52.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61%

74.39%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06%

35.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.28%

72.71%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56%

21.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55%

54.44%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 25.18%

MK Dons 49.26%

Draw 25.55%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.18%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 11.86% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.37% Total : 49.26%