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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 43.3% | 26.42% | 30.28% |
| Both teams to score 51.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% | 53.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% | 74.8% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% | 24.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% | 32.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% | 68.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.28% |