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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 43.32% | 25.86% | 30.82% |
| Both teams to score 53.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% | 50.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% | 72.65% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% | 23.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% | 57.25% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% | 30.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% | 66.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.82% |