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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 47.19% | 24.53% | 28.28% |
| Both teams to score 56.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% | 46.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% | 68.64% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% | 19.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% | 51.75% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% | 30.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% | 66.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.28% |