Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
