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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 65.26% | 19.87% | 14.87% |
| Both teams to score 51.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% | 42.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% | 65.11% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.71% | 12.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.94% | 38.06% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.79% | 41.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.26% | 77.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.08% 4-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.41% Total : 65.25% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.87% | 0-1 @ 4.49% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.87% |