Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.