Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Notts County |
34.9% ( -0.13) | 25.16% ( -0.04) | 39.94% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( 0.17) | 46.6% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.13% ( 0.16) | 68.87% ( -0.15) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% ( 0.01) | 60.87% ( -0) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( 0.16) | 23.15% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( 0.23) | 57.03% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 34.9% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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