National League | Gameweek 21

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
2 - 0
Southend

Amaluzor (38'), Jordan (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Aldershot Town and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Aldershot
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 3-1 Southend
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Southend United
21.25% ( 0.12)	22.92% ( -0.05)	55.82% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

0.38)

45.81% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.88% (

0.36)

68.12% (

-0.36)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.31% (

0.33)

35.69% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

0.34)

72.46% (

-0.34)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

0.11)

16.24% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24% (

0.2)

45.76% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 21.25%

Southend United 55.82%

Draw 22.92%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.25%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.82%