National League | Gameweek 20

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
2 - 0
Aldershot

Mullin (28'), Jones (38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wealdstone 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Aldershot Town
80.78% ( 0.31)	12.1% ( -0.22)	7.11% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.57% (

0.81)

27.43% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.97% (

1.01)

48.03% (

-1.02)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.83% (

0.21)

5.16% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.53% (

0.62)

20.47% (

-0.62)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.22% (

0.41)

44.78% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.24% (

0.33)

80.75% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 80.78%

Aldershot Town 7.11%

Draw 12.1%

Wrexham	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) 7-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.28% Total : 80.78%	1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.1%	1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.11%