Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
80.78% ( 0.31) | 12.1% ( -0.22) | 7.11% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.57% ( 0.81) | 27.43% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.97% ( 1.01) | 48.03% ( -1.02) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.83% ( 0.21) | 5.16% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.53% ( 0.62) | 20.47% ( -0.62) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.22% ( 0.41) | 44.78% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( 0.33) | 80.75% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) 7-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.28% Total : 80.78% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.1% | 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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