National League Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Paul Mullin 31' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 33' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 64' goal
  • James Jones 78' goal

Wrexham vs Altrincham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Wrexham 3 - 1 Halifax
Goals scored
116
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Altrincham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Altrincham 1 - 0 Oldham
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Christopher Conn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 79.93% (-0.71)
Draw 11.96% (+0.38)
Altrincham 8.11% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.29% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.78% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 22.22% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 58.8% (-1.09)
Under 3.5 41.2% (+1.09)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 95.69% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 4.31% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 82.14% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 17.86% (+0.78)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5 61.96% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.04% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.19% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 74.81% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Wrexham 79.93%
Draw 11.96%
Altrincham 8.11%
Wrexham
3-0 @ 8.49% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 8.21% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.1% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.83% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 6.68% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 6.45% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 5.15% (+0.20)
5-0 @ 4.2% (-0.15)
5-1 @ 4.06% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.97% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 3.12% (-0.05)
6-0 @ 2.2% (-0.12)
6-1 @ 2.13% (-0.12)
5-2 @ 1.96% (-0.07)
6-2 @ 1.03% (-0.06)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 79.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.98% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.79% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 1.64% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 11.96%
Altrincham
1-2 @ 2.41% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 1.58% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 8.11%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 41
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Jordan Davies 2' goal
  • Paul Mullin 28' goal
  • Paul Mullin 33' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 35' goal
  • Luke Young 56' yellowcard
  • James Jones 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Jones 40'
  • yellowcard Elliot Osborne 65'
National League Gameweek 22
Dec 28, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Dean Furman 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Lennon 13'
  • goal Aaron Hayden 24'
  • goal Bryce Hosannah 38'
  • yellowcard Robert Lainton 89'
National League Gameweek 29
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Toby Mullarkey 41' yellowcard
  • Ryan Colclough 51' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Harris 12'
  • goal Kwame Thomas 36'
  • goal Kwame Thomas 68'
National League Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jordan Davies 51' yellowcard
  • goal Ritchie Sutton 44'
  • yellowcard Matthew Kosylo 89'
National League
Feb 9, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Josh Ginnelly 11' goal
  • Ryan Crowther 21' yellowcard
  • Simon Richman 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamal Fyfield 15'
  • goal Simon Heslop 29'
National League
Sep 12, 2015 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Scott Leather 20' goal
  • Blaine Hudson 43' goal
  • James Gray 58' goal
  • goal Michael Rankine 50'