National League | Gameweek 17

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
4 - 0
Altrincham

Mullin (31'), Palmer (33', 64'), Jones (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Altrincham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Halifax
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Oldham
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Altrincham
79.93% ( -0.7)	11.96% ( 0.37)	8.11% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 59.29% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.78% (

-0.79)

22.22% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.8% (

-1.09)

41.2% (

1.09)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.69% (

-0.25)

4.31% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.14% (

-0.78)

17.86% (

0.78)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96% (

0.02)

38.04% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19% (

0.02)

74.81% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 79.93%

Altrincham 8.11%

Draw 11.96%

Wrexham	Draw	Altrincham
3-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 6-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) 7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.4% Total : 79.93%	1-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 11.96%	1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 8.11%