National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Wrexham4 - 0Altrincham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Halifax
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Oldham
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Wrexham 3-0 Altrincham
Altrincham have seemed like a new team in recent matches, but given Wrexham's impeccable home record, it will be one step too far for the Robins to get anything out of Saturday's game. The Dragons have made it a habit of scoring a lot of goals at home, and we think that will continue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham |
79.93% ( -0.7) | 11.96% ( 0.37) | 8.11% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
