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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 16
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Oldham Athletic

Altrincham
1 - 0
Oldham

Conn (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Torquay Utd 4-4 Altrincham
Saturday, October 22 at 5.20pm in National League

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 Yeovil
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawOldham Athletic
28.32% (0.132 0.13)24.22% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)47.46% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.18% (0.208 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.23099999999999 0.23)45% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.221 0.22)67.35% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.215 0.22)29.34% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.262 0.26)65.32% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.052000000000007 0.05)19.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (0.084000000000003 0.08)50.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 28.32%
    Oldham Athletic 47.46%
    Draw 24.22%
AltrinchamDrawOldham Athletic
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.32%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.46%